- UN Chief Urges Syria to Allow Chemical Weapons Inspectors
- US Says Chemical Weapons Used in Syria
- Kerry Tells NATO to Prepare for Syrian Chemical Weapons
- Lavrov Urges Caution Over Syria Chemical Weapons Reports
- Chemical Weapons Would be Syria ‘Game Changer’ – Obama
WASHINGTON, April 26 (By Carl Schreck for RIA Novosti) – US claims of evidence that Syrian forces used chemical weapons give Washington a chance to break its diplomatic stalemate with Russia over the ongoing civil war, but securing Moscow’s endorsement of the claim will likely be a tall order, analysts said Friday.
“I would certainly think that the [US] administration would try hard to get that, but I don’t think it’s going to be easy,” said Andrew Kuchins, a senior fellow and director of the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington-based think tank.
Washington and Moscow remain at loggerheads over the civil war between rebel forces and the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
Russia has delivered arms to Assad’s government and warned against outside intervention in the conflict, saying the opposition is teeming with Islamic extremists. The White House, meanwhile, accuses the Syrian leader of crimes against his own citizens and insists he must step down.
The White House said in a letter to lawmakers this week that intelligence gathered by the United States, with the help of opposition forces in Syria, shows “with varying degrees of confidence that the Syrian regime has used chemical weapons on a small scale in Syria.”
US President Barack Obama has called the use of chemical weapons in the conflict a “red line” for potential American intervention. The White House letter said the attack very likely originated with Assad’s forces.
The White House and the US State Department said Friday that the evidence made public this week is being examined further to determine its veracity. And Obama stressed Friday that investigators are being meticulous in their probe.
“Knowing that there's chemical weapons in Syria doesn’t tell us when they were used or how they were used,” Obama told reporters at the White House. “We ourselves will be putting a lot of resources on this.”
Two Syrian officials on Friday denied that Assad’s regime had used chemical weapons against rebels, The Associated Press reported.
If Assad’s forces indeed used chemical weapons, Washington has a chance to press Russia and China, both UN Security Council members that have blocked sanctions against Syria, to take action, said Bruce Riedel a former veteran Middle East analyst at the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA).
Assad “has given Obama the opportunity to break the Russian and Chinese diplomatic support for Syria that has paralyzed the United Nations from imposing harsh sanctions on Syria as well as a total arms embargo on the Assad regime,” Riedel wrote in a piece Friday for The Daily Beast.
Russian officials, however, have warned about rushing to conclusions concerning the claims.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Tuesday that any reports of the alleged use of chemical weapons in the conflict must be carefully investigated to avoid the repetition of the “Iraqi scenario” in which unconfirmed suspicions that Saddam Hussein’s regime possessed weapons of mass destruction were enough for foreign invasion.
Moscow appears to be wary of concurring with any evidence put forward by the United States and its allies that Assad’s forces have used chemical weapons, Kuchins told RIA Novosti.
“At this point it looks like a real challenge to get mutual confirmation,” he said.
It was not immediately clear Friday whether the United States had provided this latest purported evidence of a chemical attack, which reportedly involved the nerve gas sarin, to Russian officials.
State Department spokesman Patrick Ventrell told a news briefing Friday that he did not have any information about such a correspondence, and White House National Security Council Spokeswoman Caitlin Hayden did not respond to a request for comment.
James Jeffrey, Obama’s former ambassador to Iraq, wrote this week that the Obama administration must consider its relations with Russia and China in deciding whether to intervene in the Syrian conflict.
Europe’s reliance on Russian gas, as well as US-Russian cooperation on Afghanistan, makes the West vulnerable if Washington ignores the “geostrategic consequences” to Russia of a Syrian intervention, Jeffrey wrote in an essay for Foreign Policy.
“In diplomacy, as in physics, every action generates a reaction,” Jeffrey wrote. “Any US engagement in Syria will not be different, and the Obama administration must be prepared.”
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- cheruskHigh time to stop wrecking nations02:00, 27/04/2013In his speech at the AIPAC in December 2008 Obama assured Israel of the US military assistance ''from Gaza till Tehran''
- mrgenieIt is time to stop destroying nations09:42, 27/04/2013The first protests against Assad where peaceful protests. Assad however asked Mr. Putin if he's allowed to use Russian weapons against civilians. Unfortunately Mr. Putin has a history of advising foreign head of states to use military forces against civilians. This was send by Presidents of Ukraine and other Nations who didn't even asked Mr. Putin for this information. But Mr. Putin had the chance to avoid Syria turning into a failed state. However, it would have meant oil would drop prices, gas getting cheaper, and Russia get bankrupt within a few weeks. Thus, Mr. Putin adivsed Mr Assad to save the income of the Russian Federation, start a conflict, use Russian weapons against civilians, so oil and gas wouldn't drop that bad. Only 6 months later, when all the world was asking Mr. Putin to stop the killing of civilians, the first Jhihadist came into Syria. Now indeed the opposition isn't peaceful anymore. Of course! If Putin tells the army to kill Russians citizens, would the Russian people remain peaceful? Of course not. Every population will start to defend itself.
Unfortunately for Mr. Putin, his calculation is a bit weird, since now fracking and other techniques are stepping up. Oil and Gas prices will fall, leaving tens of billions uncovered in the Russian Federal Household for the years to come. Thus, the USA and other nations are not interested in Syria. Let Putin start destroying the few nations within his influence to try to rise oil and gas prices. It won't matter much anymore. Within a few years USA will be self sufficient, even Poland and Ukraine are now, against the will of Mr. Putin, piloting with the new US technology to get independent of Russia. While at the same time China said it will invest more to get oil and gas independence from Russia so it can ignore the dictatorship of Mr. Putin. Step by step Mr. Putin is loosing his grip over this planet, because he ordered the slaughter and use of Russian weapons against civilians in the hope to level up oil and gas prices.
it will be the biggest mistake of Russian modern history to think modern nations as China can accept this. Or older nations as EU, Japan, USA can accept this. Step by step Mr. Putin is creating more and more enemies to Russia.
Step by step Putin is forcing the world to reduce trading with Russia.
If this is wise politics? definitely not! But Putin has his billions already on offshore accounts, his friends as well. It won't hurt them. Who's going to pay the price? Yes, the common Russian citizen who will see his state fall apart in the coming decades.
Great job Mr. Putin!
You're destroying one of the most beautiful countries in the world! Way to go!
Military exercises are held in order to prevent a war rather than prepare for one. If a potential enemy knows and sees that the Russian Army is constantly improving its skills and adopting state-of-the-art combat equipment and combat support systems he will hardly risk aggression against these Armed Forces and the country they defend.